To Dinora's credit, he has engraved his name on the FPT Championship trophy for two seasons in a row now...The only question - is the SOLE reason for his dominance a result of LJ being available on waivers after Ricky H dropped him in 2005? But more importantly, can he afford to ride this 3rd round pick's overworked back in 2007? Let's examine...
1st & Goal... LJ is on the cusp of a nasty contract situation with a notorious owner who doesn't pay his stars. Throw in the fact that the offensive line is entering another season with the exit of another perennial All-Pro blocker (The Willie Boys), forcing their best pass catching threat, Tony G., to stay in and block....oh, and Damon Huard or Brodie Croyle are the ones tossing the pill around this season. So, from a personnel perspective, it appears LJ better dust of the diaper from a few years back because I think someone may shit the bed in 2007...
2nd & Goal... How many carries/touches can one man handle over 16 games? Does history indicate trouble on the horizon? Lets have a look... Historically speaking, only one player has ever averaged 30 touches a game over a 16 game slate - James Wilder back in 1984. LJ has 745 touches over the last 25 games, 29.8/gm...Over that span, his numbers have dropped in both yards per touch and yards per carry (down almost a full yard respectively). Throw in the fact that defensive players are much bigger, faster, stronger than their predecessors, your line is in shambles, you're looking at a youthful QB situation with the departure of Big Dan's man - Trent Green - and you find that a salary of less than $2 million for 2007 isn't the least bit motivating...Oh, and his team isn't likely to be competitive this year - Add it all up and it gives me $2 million reasons not to keep him as my 3rd round pick...
Hey Juiceman, I'm getting a cramp...
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