Rosters are locked!

So it's draft morning, 6 AM EST, what have we learned?

1. IDP keeps aren't as impressive as I anticipated. And that PE loves Beason at the WLB. Hope he doesn't suffer the same fate as Thomas Davis...

2. Tons of wideouts gone already! And not so many running backs...a function of our keeper structure or the direction of rolling with the knowns, so to speak? Feature backs are an increasingly rare commodity and some might argue, endangered on the way to extinction. They are looking at expanding to 18 games soon.

3. We forgot to be clear on what it means to declare your keeps. When you declare - it's final. We simply hadn't thought about it to be honest, until the phone lines lit up chasing tremendous value being thrown back in, we were clueless the interest was legit. So, we'll be sure to amend the document going into 2011 to include a time where all rosters are set so guys don't get an unfair advantage knowing who was being released to begin with.

Lastly, for the draft tonight, I'll have two computers available - one for the draft board and one for a war room cam if Chicago has a computer available. Juice has done Skype before. I did iCat a while back. So, let me know Chitown if this is a possibility. It just seems easier than burning through cell batteries, frees all phones up for trade texts, and could potentially add to the ambiance. And if anyone else knows a better way to set something up I'm all ears!

That's it, boys! You have 12 hours and 44 minutes Drury!

DNice Keepers

Hey FPT King - can Schaub move like this? You better hope so!

Steve Smith (the reliable one) - 10th

Crabtree - 12th

Michael Bush - 22nd

Ahmad Bradshaw - 21st

Clay Matthews - 20th

Dhani Jones - 18th

Calais Campbell - 19th

Dumb and Dangerous Keepers

And the team bus is off for training camp! If you aren't sure what this means...you missed a classic movie!

Ryan Grant - 18th

Brees - 15th

Celek - 14th

Marshall - 8th

Lofton - 12th

Barnett - 21st

Tyvon Branch - 22nd

PE's Keepers

Dan sends his regrets because tomorrow night he'll be drafting from his new headquarters for the 2010 season. Call us when you need a ride...

Jerome Harrison - 22nd

Justin Forsett - 21st

Dallas - 18th

Fred Davis - 20th

Woodsen - 19th

Super Mario - 9th

Beason - THIRD

IDP run has started!

Juice's Keepers

And speaking of new jerseys, how about the new duds the 2010 Bride's Maids will be sporting this season...and oh my, look how striking DNice is in pure white!

Juice is keeping:

Gore - 9th

Wallace - 22nd

Arian Foster - 21st

Rodgers - 20th

Willis - 16th

Timmons - 12th

DJ Williams - 19th

Brain's Keepers

New jerseys for sale!

Vernon Davis - 22nd

Aromashodu - 21st

Benson - 20th

Cutler - 1oth

Woodley - 19th

Delmas - 18th

David Harris - 8th

SchoolGirls Keepers

That's right, boys...looks like school is closed for the 2010 season!

Roddy - 18th

Witten - 17th

Romo - 13th

Turner - 4th

Jared Allen - 6th

Dashon Goldson - 22nd

Wimbley - 21st

Flava Keepers

Keeper time, boooooyyyyy!

Flacco - 22nd

Sims-Walker - 21st

Maclin - 20th

Greene - 10th

D'Qwell - 15th

James Harrison - 13th

Kendrell Bell - 9th

Ninja Keeps

Pierre Thomas - 11th

MJD - 12th

Colston - 15th

Kolb - 22nd

Freeney - 16th

Gamble - 18th

Levy - 21st

Game on - suckas!

Enough is enough...

To catch everyone up - overnight there was a trade that was processed by the site automatically for reasons unknown to us. Consequently, it likely caused a bit of a stir this morning from locomotive to caboose. Well, as with all unexpected things, there is something to take away from it.

Beginning immediately, you are responsible for doing due diligence when making any moves within the league. This includes the following:

• Understanding any and all rules and scoring items
• Being clear on our keeper policy - both rounds drafted and rounds bumped, and not taking anyone's but your own word for it.

You have the document. You have the necessary information on the site. And most importantly, if you need clarification, J and I are always available to help understand or navigate what still must feel complex to some of you. Do yourself and your fellow owners a favor by establishing a clear understanding of what you really are getting in a trade.

Lastly, this is not intended to be a lecture; rather, it's yet another attempt to avoid putting anyone, including ourselves, in the position of being a dick. None of us want that. None of us deserve that. If you have questions - ask before hitting the accept or send buttons. And now - get those keeper lists to me!

Legends Keeps

And thank God for Legend he has solid keeps because we've seen his drafting! Solid. Like the rocks in Bowes head...enjoy!

Garcon - 22nd

Johnny Know - 21st

Bowe - 18th

Mendanhall - 7th

Geno Hayes - 20th

Mayo - 19th

Tuck - 15h

UCB Keepers

Welcome to Miles' World, boys! The only question is: which one is the keeper? Tough call. Who to throw back? But I suppose if anyone has to go it's Sidney Rice because after all, he has a chick's name and a drama queen for a QB!

So, without further ado, you'll find the 2010 Frederick Pain Train Champion's keepers below:

Miles Austin - 22nd

Jamaal Charles - 21st

Jermichael Finley - 20th

Hakeem Nicks - 15th

Mathias Kiwanuka - 19th

Bernard Pollard - 18th

James Laurinaitis - 8th

Got Busts?

Thought about all the obvious pictures for this post but I quickly realized that it's tough to top the original perv - Fallujah Footballers/Leesburg Landscapers/Flava Savers/Richard. So, like any student of history, I won't tempt fate in a place I don't belong.

Each season is filled with can't miss lists/rankings across every magazine shelf and on any free/paid site on the web. And each list typically has 90% of the same guys. Well, I'm here to tell you that the industry regularly gets 40-50% of these so-called can't miss guys wrong - particularly in the top-10. Here we go!

2005 - Our inaugural season

7 out of 10 were busts

2006

4 out of 10 were busts

2007

5 out of 10 were busts

2008

5 out of 10 were busts

2009

5 out of 10 were busts

Impressive huh? Let me guess - you each think your picks reflect the other side of this breakdown, right? We'll get to that... But first, let's look positionally at this.

Of all the busts over the last 5 seasons, RBs busted 23 out of 34 times. However, the WRs busted on only 3 occassions out of 13 picks. And of course we all remember Tom Brady going down early - QBs busted just one out of 3 times.

Second guessing yourself yet? Try this...draft slot analysis.

1st - Never busted

2nd - 3 out of 5

3rd - 1 out of 5

4th - 4 out of 5

5th - 3 out of 5

6th - 3 out of 5

7th - 3 out of 5

8th - 2 out of 5

9th - 4 out of 5

10th - 3 out of 5

Can't remember how you did, or in my case, trying to forget...too bad!

SchoolGirls - Alexander, Addai, Tomlinson

DNice - Brady

Brain - McGahee, Barber, SJax and Alexander, Lynch, SJax

Juice - Holmes

Legend - McAlister, Forte

Flava - Moss

PE - Alexander, Portis, SJax, Calvin,

Ninja - SJax, Jordan, Boldin

UCB - Davis, McGahee, Barber

D&D - Rudi

Surpirsed? I am. Can't believe Rick wasn't too bad. Conley hasn't screwed up much. PE loves Peyton because of this performance. DNice is typically rock solid. Whereas Juice backs up all his talk with solid picks early. Ninja is just being Ninja. And SchoolGirls struggles with the RB selections. Ominous pick coming at 7:00 on Friday, Drury! Brain's first rounder has busted every year. In fact, he has the rare honor of having 6 first round busts in 5 seasons! Will Senuta join him in 2010? And of course, my own struggles have been well documented in the early rounds...

But what does this tell us? Is anybody really safe? Well, only Addai busted once out of 7 Colt chances. This obviously helps those who've coveted Reggie and Peyton over the years. The other clear take away is Steven Jackson. So much for one of the few feature backs being a consistent producer! Just goes to show you that all those magazines out there don't use actual data to support their rankings, do they? But in addition to the SJax downer, how about the number of backs who came out of relative nowhere only to crap the bed the following season. Lamont Jordan. Reggie Bush. Marshawn Lynch. Matt Forte. So who is this year's version? Ray Rice or Chris Johnson? It has to be somebody. History clearly proves it!

And finally, as you lay your head on the pillow each of the next few nights, do yourself a favor and don't chase any dreams...let them come to you. Because if you reach for someone unproven, you likely will be reaching into your wallet for weeks trying to cover such a dramatic turn of events.

Best of luck, boys! Don't overthink anything...

Final Mock? Perhaps.

After looking back through the mocks over the years I was reminded of how informative it is to announce the pick, provide the rationale, and get into the head's of each owner. So, in my final mock of the 2010 season, I'll attempt to conjure up some of my best Jedi work, yet!

1.01 SchoolGirls - Chris Johnson

What looked like a decision with all the "Peterson getting 400 touches" talk now feels like a mortal lock considering the competition seems to be hampered "All Day". True - Ray Rice could be argued here but Drury wanted the #1 spot because of Chris Johnson coming off an insane amount of touches which is just too good to pass up...unless you consider too many touches a bad thing, right Michael Turner owners?

1.02 DNice - Adrian Peterson

Tough call for the 3-time champ! Your not a Ray Rice guy despite what he did to your second favorite team in the playoffs last year. But these vibes out of Minnesota must scare even the most stoic of GMs. In the end, despite your consistent appreciation for high target wide receivers (see Furrey, Welker, Smith...) you find Andre Johnson too tall for your liking and roll with the RB expected to see a bump in pass targets and garner all of the goal line work.

1.03 Juice - Andre Johnson

We know. You love AJ. He's hands-down the best PPR player out there. And it's a luxury to not have to pursue him throughout the Fall months. Plus you know there won't be another WR with half of AJ's certainty later...not even in the second which you smartly shopped!

1.04 Juice - Randy Moss

And the reasons above are exactly why you're rolling with Randy in the 4 spot! You smirk but you know it! Let's face it - you didn't really get all that Wag's talk about RB values in rounds 2-5 and how Hines Ward is likely going way too soon but once you recommitted yourself, you came around. Now, knowing that UCB saw your powerplay with one of his own, it convinces you that you must go WR/WR because if not, you not only need to hit later in the draft, but you'll need to hit well enough to trade for Randy Moss.

1.05 Legend - Ray Rice

Once again Senuta throws you for a loop. In typical fashion, you've been goaded by one of the greats and you aren't even present in the War Room! So good luck making the call in the middle of a bunch of young kids who are way too young for 5-night a week practices let alone needing to manage their weight for crying out loud...You go Ray Rice in the end because your squad of minions resemble his size!

1.06 Flava - Calvin Johnson

And Larry Fitzgerald slips...but what does this mean? I'll tell you. Matt Stafford is better than Matt Leinart. Not sure going sexiness here over 90+ catches every single season is what the experts would deem "safe" but Richard loves to swing for the fences because nothing feels better than living up to your expectations. It's official - Flava rolls out the first bust!

1.07 PE - Larry Fitzgerald

Here you go Mr. Depth Chart! You can book it because the Arizona Depth Chart is what most of us would call shallow. It looks like this...

Starting WRs: Fitzgerald and Brain, I mean Breaston

But be careful, you know Peyton isn't coming back so are you really comfortable rolling with Tom Brady considering Welker's injury, Mankins holding out, and Kaczur done for the season? And 14 is too early to go Schaub with his injury history and a regressed Owen Daniels. Or maybe you're thinking UCB won't go QB early because he never does.

1.08 Ninja Mafia - Reggie Wayne

I'm actually not entirely convinced you're rolling Reggie here to be honest. You've said it yourself - the early rounds haven't been kind to you. Well, with that said and given the fact many of us have read far from flattering pieces written about Reggie this season (like the weapons at Peyton's disposal, getting back to the run balance, the abyssmal stretch performance in 2009...), I wonder if we could see a curve ball here and his name isn't Steven Jackson. I actually think despite being tormented by Jennings last season, you're smart enough to know that Greg might just be the safest pick you could make given his finish in 09 and the trend of players getting back after a down season let alone having the game's best QB throwing him the ball.

1.09 UCB - Steven Jackson

I feel like the United here - sit on your late pick and let the value fall. Well, come to Papa, SJax...I may not fully appreciate your featured back role now, but I trust you'll convince me as the season wears on. Plus, every RB after you gets an A+ in "sharing" which doesn't exactly get any "bonus" points in my book.

1.10 D&D - Anquan Boldin

Homer. I am a bit surprised how he's actually ranked right there with Jennings, DJax, Steve Smith (the angry one) according to numerous PPR rankings. As Juice always says - if you like him, go get him. But I followed that advice a few years back and effectively donated my fees after grabbing Dominick Davis and Kevin Jones with my first two picks. The good news is you have two chances to get it right here!

2.01 D&D - Ryan Mathews

Much more certainty at RB here than at 30! You know what this tells everyone else though, right? That you are going IDP at your next pick! The wideouts aren't good value there. The running backs, albeit plentiful, feel like one big RBBC, and you already have Celek and with no Gates left to grab, that leaves us one direction...gentleman, start your engines!

2.02 UCB - Greg Jennings

I lived the nightmare for the better part of last season but I love nothing more than rolling multiple options in a high powered offense - huh, you say? Multiple options? That's right boys - Jermichael Finley is coming home! And considering Juice has Rodgers and competes every year, I love me some Packer targets!

2.03 UCB - Peyton Manning

This ain't some peace pipe, Dan. This smoke resembles PAIN! Did you know Peyton had 9 - 300 yard games last season? You must not, even though you had him in 09 because you let him slip by you. You had your chance. Now pick the next best one... And now I'm off to spend the next hour baking cookies for you schmucks!

2.04 PE - Tom Brady

Sucks to know that you can't pass on a QB here because Legend and DNice each have two picks and a QB need before your next. Not much else to say, frankly...

2.05 Flava - DJax

Surprised? Me too. But from what I've seen, nobody ever finishes as a top-10 WR in a PPR with less than 70 catches. This is why I think you might go Steve Smith here instead because the Matt Moore talk is baseless when you look at his numbers the second half of 2009.

2.06 Legend - Steve Smith

You hate it because let's face it, there is nothing exciting about rolling with a guy so brittle he hurts himself playing flag football. But, you know that despite wanting to go too early on the next one (I'm thinking JSTew...), and the fact you can't pull the trigger on DeAngelo, you go back to the well and by doing so, (ironically) fully lay your trust in an offense that has the leading rushing attack in the league.

2.07 Brain - DeAngelo Williams

After placing a call into your Daddy - aka The Shadow - you emphatically grab a dropping DeAngelo. Unfortunately the Shadow was a year too early and you my friend will be a year too late...But it's tough to pass on a value RB in the very spot that Juice always finds a stud!

2.08 Brain - Hines Ward

I would like to think you problem solved your way around reaching for a banged up Welker or Vincent "6 games" Jackson but "problem" and "solving" rarely go together in Brain's World! Plus, more importantly, ketchup is your favorite condiment...

2.09 DNice - Wes Welker

You just can't let him pass you. Ever since the ACL got torn late last season you've been targeting white lightning late 2nd/early 3rd. In fact, I have a sneaky suspicion that Welker's uncertainty had more to do with picking the #2 spot than wanting a stud RB/WR because you ultimately believed that WW would fall. Too much credit? 3-time champs can never get too much credit...

2.10 SchoolGirls - Chad Ochocinco

This is what happens when you go at the #1 spot... Enjoy the circus! Not too sure he's the best bet here but what do I know - I only went rbs at 1,20, 21, 41 last season and you saw how that worked out! 2nd in the power rankings if that means anything...

3.01 SchoolGirls - Beanie Wells

You can't imagine who is sitting here at this point and feel thankful that the newest family man from Arizona can hold off the chronically mediocre Tim Hightower. Hopefully all that Butt Paste doesn't make his fingers slippery! Insane tidbit? Perhaps. But this is how deep UCB goes in our evaluation process!

3.02 DNice - Matt Schaub

Don't worry Matt, your name tag has never left the locker...it's called United loyalty! You keep winning championships and the contract gets renewed - right B Dawk?

3.03 Brain - Sidney Rice

Like DeAngelo in the second, you are visibly stunned that Sidney is sitting here! I mean - he's ranked in the top-7 in your magazine...what the hell is everyone else reading? Uh. Medical reports and Favre texts. Enjoy!

3.04 Brain - Knowshon Moreno

Speaking of medical reports, can this guy really be as healthy as McDaniel is making him out to be? Well, last I heard, Ladell Betts and Brian Westbrook were brought into Denver only to have LenWhale move his Cheetos and Blunts into the team headquarters. One word: desperate.

3.05 Legend - Antonio Gates

Reunited with the guy who beat UCB last season despite a monster Monday night by Jared Allen! Great value and surprisingly unsexy for you Freddy...nice work! I hope passing up Javid and the rest of the available backs is worth it.

3.06 Flava - Jonathan Stewart

You went with him inside 4 last season so he has to go even higher in 2010. I get the sense that people are giving too much deference to DeAngelo lately and the right back to draft is the younger, stronger, and better version of DeAngelo. One of the better picks of the night so far...

3.07 PE - Santana Moss

Too early to go here but if you want him, like Peyton, you gotta go before Ninja and D&D cover the next 6 picks. Look at the wideouts left - Moss is right there. Plus, do you really want to go RB here and force yourself to miss the IDP beginning in the event that Moss actually slides to 34?

3.08 Ninja - Vincent Jackson

You feel like you're playing with house money here so you take a chance on rekindling some of that San Diego love despite the uncertainty. After all, if we knew what was happening do you really think he would still be here? Not to mention, Conley has his own affinity with all things Chargers over the years (see Gates, Sproles, LT, Ryan Mathews at #11...) and might not be able to pass him up.

3.09 Ninja - LeSean McCoy

In my opinion, McCoy just feels like a classic Ninja pick. Looks and feels can't miss - induces mad rants and vomit attacks by week 5!

3.10 D&D - Ronnie Brown

So close to bringing Matthew back to the roster but Ronnie is the next best thing, isn't he? You do own his jersey, after all. The question is: do you really want to own this pick given his injury history? Not so much, huh...

FPT Family Gathering

Pretty good laugh looking back through the blog today (funny the unexpected things you find through research). For those unfamiliar with the Motley Crew above - UCB's kids are sporting the summer 2007 colors of bright blue and lime green...Lil' Juice is about to create illegal contact on the younger Vogel...and the DNice squad, complete with a cast wrapped in a target bag (nothing like suiting up for battle!).

With a reminder how time flies and opportunities are missed for various reasons, it looks as if the turnout is too low for the family gathering on draft weekend unless Sunday works for everyone. Let me know what you're feeling so I can get it on the books. And Richard, your track record is such I'm beginning to bank on seeing a Chicago family before yours at this point so cut the excuses and write it in sharpie on the Howard calendar!

History Lesson?

As with any trade on the FPT there is always a level of intense scrutiny but considering most of you are silent on the blog and site allow me to present both sides.

UCB receives the #13 pick

Ninja Mafia receives the #29, #32, and DeAndre Levy

First, what does this mean? Well, clearly UCB wasn't finished and is a sucker for 2nd round

picks. After all, wouldn't you if you have a resume filled with the likes of Kevin Jones, Reggie Wayne, Marvin Harrison (nightmare), LJ, and Portis (trade bait luckily). Upon first glance you may think - wow, these picks weren't that bad. Let me assure you - if I drafted them in the 2nd, they busted. Book it! It's called inevitability... That's why anybody going with a Colt receiver should be very nervous. Looks like Peyton could be drinking the 2nd round poison in 2010...

Second, Ninja collects picks in rounds 3 and 4 like the democrats collect taxes from the rich! Ouch. In all seriousness, Flava once coughed up his 3rd for a can't miss young buck named Laurence Maroney. And as recently as last year Ninja got his hands on DeSean Jackson in the 4th with a pick from Brain who obviously doesn't believe in the talent from the 4th round. DeSean clearly got it done, albeit a bit hit and miss. And Thomas Jones in the 30 spot in 2007 proved to be a year early seeing 2 total TDs and a weak 3.6 ypc!

So, where does this leave us? For starters - UCB loves the 1st turn talent enough to pass on the falling values late in the third. However, does this mean Ninja is gearing up for a IDP powerplay? If you trust the history above, you have to wonder if Ninja's propensity for making bold and early moves to dictate the rhythm of the draft is lurking...time will tell.

IDP Watch

For those of you stuck in a rut and relying solely on my analysis leading up to draft night - you know who you are - let me remind you that your problems are further complicated when it comes to selecting which IDPs to keep. Confused? Let me explain...

1. Do you have quality free agent pick-ups from 2009 on the defensive side of the ball?

The answer is yes. Everyone does. You know why? Because there are 90-100 starting LBs in the NFL and each puts up gaudy stats periodically so we grab them off the wire.

2. Do you buy and sell IDPs throughout the season looking to play the match-ups?

Everyone but PE does. That's a fact. But why...

Here's the reason -

IDP points are critical to winning and losing. A stud backer can throw 20+ on the board on the FPT. Or how about a DL getting to the QB...can you say sack, forced fumble, tackle, and recovery all in the same play? Jared Allen can. Hell, even Juice's boy Woodsen got in on the action with picks, pass deflections, and TDs all in one nice package let alone tackles. But here's the thing - if you don't get one of these guys you're throwing money into DNice's pot and driving yourself crazy trying to guess right. Sound familiar?

So what does this mean? How does this pertain to me and my roster? Unless you're rolling Patrick Willis, DJ Williams, and Charles Woodsen out of the gate, you better think long and hard about who you need and when you gotta get him. Here's a hint...4th round. And looking at the rosters leading up to next Friday night, we're all debating which of our FA from 2009 afford us the ability to wait a round or two before diving into the IDP pool. From my vantage point, nobody can afford it. And if you think I'm blowing smoke - just recognize that I'm essentially starting the picks for the fourth round so consider this another piece of my insightful advice. There's a reason Juice rolls up the points every season...and why he has back-to-back picks in the round!

PE is Alive! He knows where the accept button is!

Performance Enhancers must be doing exactly what he claims he hasn't been doing - listening. You owe me, Dan. Without my educational prowess you most certainly would have gone into draft night satisfied with such a piss poor roster. So, I commend you for checking the 6'8" ego at the door...

In true Conley fashion, it's gratifying to see our young apprentice following his commishes in making moves to garner picks and flexibility. However, giving a hand-out to the notoriously inactive champ is not from our playbook. Must be those comics you're reading in the offseason...

In the end, I predict the ramifications for D&D will be that just when your hoping someone slides to your slot, PE will wield his new found flexibility and screw you in some way by grabbing your guy. And to throw salt in this gaping wound, the IDP you grab with the pick will be too late for the LB1s and 2s and put you squarely in the muddled tiers of DLs and DBs. It's called inevitability, son...but kudos for stepping out and becoming your own man! Can't wait to spend the day watching Harrison stick a 250 yard knife in your heart when you match up against the shoulda been whipping boy...

Post Mock Team Breakdown

Here's a closer and more complete look at each roster heading into round 6 (not counting IDP keeps at this point).

SchoolGirls:

Tony Romo

Roddy White, Chad Ochocinco,

Michael Turner, Chris Johnson

Jason Witten, Antonio Gates

Julius Peppers

Drury has all the big pieces in place yet leaves himself short a player by keeping Turner in the 4th round. One has to question grabbing Gates over a wide receiver when he has Witten already but as long as he's comfortable rolling with 85, Drury has to feel decent after the first hour or so...

DNice:

Tom Brady

Adrian Peterson, Ahmad Bradshaw, Michael Bush, Marion Barber

Steve Smith (NYG), Michael Crabtree, Wes Welker

Karlos Dansby

You gotta love the New England affection from DNice Central! Doesn't it seem like there's a profile of a United player because every season he's selecting RBs with opportunities and high target wideouts all while rolling with an elite QB? All he needs now is Dawkins! Plus, bringing Karlos back for a ring makes sense for the newest Dolphin.

Brain:

Jay Cutler

Cedric Benson, LeSean McCoy, Matt Forte

Hines Ward, Devin Aromashodu

Vernon Davis

Ray Lewis

Brain always drafts well...for his trade partners! This time is no different. From the looks of it, the blockbuster trade should prove useful in the trade market because that value is tough to argue with...Not to mention, he has HIS guy throwing the rock which has to make anyone comfortable knowing what we do about the mad scientist, Mike Martz.

100% Juice:

Aaron Rogers

Ray Rice, Frank Gore, Arian Foster

Andre Johnson, Mike Wallace

Jermichael Finley

Terrell Suggs

Is it possible for Juice to miss on numbers 3 or 4? Time will tell, but his squad's life absolutely depends on nailing both picks because that wide receiver situation is far from enviable (unlike in years past) not to mention a fluid situation down in Houston. Love the Finley pick! And T-Sizzle, well, maybe you know something the rest of us doesn't or maybe you just love the prospect of getting an angry Suggs off the edge in Baltimore after an abysmal 2009! Perhaps though, you just like messing with Conley...

Legend:

Matt Schaub

Rashard Mendenhall, Beanie Wells

Dwayne Bowe, Pierre Garcon, Robert Meachem, Larry Fitzgerald, Santana Moss

Demarcus Ware

Looks good so far but keep in mind Mendenhall is a high keep and 4 of your wide receivers are far from ideal. Can't say I see any value in that sorry bunch but I've been wrong before...And to reiterate - you won't keep Ryan and will draft Schaub in the 3rd. Book it!

Flava:

Joe Flacco

Shonn Greene, Ryan Mathews, Jahvid Best

Randy Moss, Mike Sims-Walker, Jeremy Maclin

Tony Gonzalez

Rolando McClain

Well well well...our little Rick is growing up! A nice blend of above average talent at each position and the makings of some nice depth picks later on. And Rolando McClain...that guy was fitted for the Flava uniform back in April! Too bad you have to go that early to get him.

PE:

Peyton Manning

Steve Slaton, Knowshon Moreno

Chris Chambers, Steve Smith (Car), TJ Houshmandzadeh

Dallas Clark

London Fletcher

Welcome aboard, Danny Boy! In case you haven't noticed, your roster sucks so I suspect you'll be living off those "two-time champ" comebacks for the foreseeable future. Do yourself a favor and make a move. Smart guys, and even stubborn ones like yourself, know better than to knowingly put yourself in a hole. Oh, and you better grab Peyton early because if not, there's a jersey sitting at UCB headquarters as we speak. Can't pass up countless kickers and a contract year...

Ninja Mafia:

Kevin Kolb

Maurice Jones-Drew, Pierre Thomas, Jonathan Stewart

Marques Colston, Reggie Wayne, DeSean Jackson, Vincent Jackson

Jon Beason

From what felt like a dynamic roster somehow feels a bit mediocre, doesn't it? It's not like I've manipulated anything....this is it. In fact, it's not even sexy which is surprising given your splashy reputation. And despite your affinity for Reggie, isn't he a bit like Colston nowadays? Do you really need an inconsistent wr in a target rich corp? I suppose the VJax pick tells us how desperate you'll eventually get! And you know IDPs will be flying when you're up...be prepared!

UCB:

Jamaal Charles, Joseph Addai

Miles Austin, Sidney Rice, Hakeem Nicks, Calvin Johnson, Greg Jennings, Dez Bryant

Barrett Ruud

You laugh. Question marks all over the place. If Haley is really rolling with the hot hand, CJ II is the guy. How could he not be - he was voted the Chiefs MVP last season after they released LJ and he went on to perform neck and neck with Chris Johnson the second half of the season. Don't believe it? Look it up. And Sidney Rice is in a contract year with his boy Favre coming back. Do you really think Favre can pass up on the spotlight and $20,000,000? Nicks is cleared already and the clear starter. Jennings ended 2009 on a rampage when Finley got the majority of snaps at TE. And Dez will be fine when I need him...

Dumb and Dangerous:

Drew Brees

Ryan Grant, Steven Jackson, Felix Jones, Ronnie Brown

Anquan Boldin, Brandon Marshall

Brent Celek

Jonathan Vilma

Boldin and Marshall. That's all you have in a PPR? This is why SJax falling to you is a nightmare. You have to take him. But God it sucks...You better hope Grant is legit, Ronnie really is back (and Ricky isn't), and Felix's extra pounds don't impact him like Slaton last season. I do love Celek, though. But the Vilma pick is going to hurt at the end of round 5.

WE HAVE A 5 ROUNDER, BOYS!

A quick keeper recap and update followed by 5 rounds of pure bliss! Enjoy!

SchoolGirls - Keepers: Romo, Roddy, Witten, and Turner

DNice - Keepers: Michael Bush, Crabtree, Smith (NYG), and Bradshaw (NEW)

Brain - Keepers: Benson, Cutler, Aromashadu (McCoy looks to be odd man out now!), and Vernon Davis

100% Juice - Keepers: Rodgers, Gore, Arian Foster, and Wallace

The Legend - Keepers: Bowe, Meachem (NEW), Mendenhall, and Garcon

Flava - Keepers: Flacco, Maclin, Greene, and Sims-Walker

PE - Keepers: Clark, Chambers, Slaton...yikes!

Ninja Mafia -Keepers: Colston, MJD, Kolb, and Pierre (STILL won't keep Rivers and you know it)

UCB - Keepers: Sidney Rice, Miles Austin, Jamaal Charles, and Hakeem Nicks

Dumb and Dangerous - Keepers: Celek, Brees, Marshall, and Grant

Here we go!

1.01 SchoolGirls - Chris Johnson

1.02 DNice - Adrian Peterson

1.03 Juice (Brain's Original Pick) - Andre Johnson

1.04 Juice - Ray Rice

1.05 Legend - Larry Fitzgerald

1.06 Flava - Randy Moss

1.07 PE - Peyton Manning

1.08 Ninja - Reggie Wayne

1.09 UCB - Calvin Johnson

1.10 D&D - Steven Jackson

Nothing surprising once again...PE can't help scratching the Peyton itch in a contract year. He won't take Wayne contrary to Nina's belief because he already has Dallas Clark and understands the importance of diversifying especially given a likely decision on Addai in round three.

2.01 D&D - Anquan Boldin

2.02 UCB - Greg Jennings

2.03 Ninja - DeSean Jackson

2.04 PE - Steve Smith (car)

2.05 Flava - Ryan Mathews

2.06 Legend - Beanie Wells

2.07 Brain (Juice's Original Pick) - DeAngelo Williams

2.08 Brain (used to be LeSean keep) - LeSean McCoy

2.09 DNice - Tom Brady

2.10 SchoolGirls - Chad Ochocinco

Brain let's the value fall to him in Juice's old spot. And given the history of Juice's 2nd round picks over the years, there is always great value there. Plus, who would have thought the LeSean would come to you anyways??? Other than that, too much good pub regarding Beanie so Fred gives a minor reach at 16.

3.01 SchoolGirls - Antonio Gates

3.02 DNice - Wes Welker

3.03 Brain - Hines Ward

3.04 Brain (Juice's Original Pick) - Matt Forte

3.05 Legend - Matt Schaub

3.06 Flava - Jahvid Best

3.07 PE - Knowshon Moreno

3.08 Ninja - Jonathan Stewart

3.09 UCB - Joseph Addai

3.10 D&D - Ronnie Brown

Welker comes home to DNice headquarters. And again, Brain makes a nice value play with Forte, albeit a bit of a homer pick, and goes back to the reliable ketchup well in Hines. And Dan goes Knowshon because he believes he'll be back by week one and shouldn't have fallen anyway. Good pick? Possibly.

4.01 D&D - Felix Jones

4.02 UCB - Barrett Ruud

4.03 Ninja - Jon Beason

4.04 PE - London Fletcher

4.05 Flava - Rolando McClain

4.06 Legend - Santana Moss

4.07 Juice - Demeco Ryans

4.08 Juice (Brain's Original Pick) - Jermichael Finley

4.09 DNice - Karlos Dansby

4.10 SchoolGirls - No pick...Keeping Turner

You laugh. You think my inner Yoda is coming out. But ask yourself - Am I willing to reach into the offensive grab bag when there are difference making IDPs to be had? Your answer should be no, but some of you will stubbornly let the run pass and play the lottery. Rolling 4 stud LBs is always a good thing, right Juice?

5.01 SchoolGirls - Julius Peppers

5.02 DNice - Marion Barber

5.03 Brain - Ray Lewis

5.04 Juice - Terrell Suggs

5.05 Legend - Demarcus Ware

5.06 Flava - Tony Gonzalez

5.07 PE - TJ Houshmandzadeh

5.08 Ninja - Vincent Jackson

5.09 UCB - Dez Bryant

5.10 D&D - Jonathan Vilma

Do owners come to their senses in round five? Nobody will pass on an IDP in both rounds 4 and 5 so to answer the question - yes, every owner gets a little smarter in 2010, UCB included!

I'm trying to keep up with the fluid keeper statuses and the swapping picks so if I missed anything, feel free to bust me balls in the comments! And of course, when you disagree with your picks, reach down yourselves throw an opinion out there. I would like to think that Ninja isn't the only one sporting a giant beanbag! Even you, too, Commish...how about showing us what ya got!

T-minus 8 days!

Before we get to the new mock, obviously we have some action to analyze! Great to see the Juice/Brain reunion continues for the 2010 season (maybe at this point we should note when they're separating and not when they're working together). But actually this trade mirrors the original blockbuster between 5 o'clock Shadow and Brain from 2007 when Brain had the 2nd and 5th picks (SJax and Alexander). At the time, and in fact still today, the first round is riddled with busts 40% each season, so the real risk is dipping your toe in twice within the first 10 picks. In 2007 both busted for Brain despite SJax coming off two injury free seasons and catching 90 balls in 06, yet Alexander was coming off a 7 TD season where he saw time in 10 games...can't really explain that one! So for Juice the obvious picks are Ray Rice and Andre Johnson. Is it just me, or does SJax and Ray Rice feel a little similar given the history except SJax didn't lose goal-line? So, although the notion of Juice rolling out of the first round with 2 bonafide studs on draft night may be unnerving, don't get caught up in it since history strongly suggests not all top-10 picks are created equal...I like the trade for both IF each makes the right selections.

And with this blockbuster move, it's looking more and more like the keepers are getting set which means a mock is in order! Stay tuned for the latest installment later today...and please, if you have anymore moves to make, do me a favor and get them in by noon so I don't have to redo all the work! Consider that a challenge...

Madden Curse? D&D asks the boss...really!

Madden: What curse? | Commissioner Roger Goodell

Click above to see what the official tour website says about Conley's rare moment in the spotlight...surreal.

You better believe it's sinking!

Mark this date down, folks - August 3rd, 2010. What looked to be another glorious day at UCB headquarters was shaken by the Brett Favre news. But wait, as if the weekend news of Sidney Rice, MD wasn't worrisome enough, I've been officially pulled into Rich Eisen's nightly "Favre Watch." Can you believe this chronic training camp skipper? I'm not convinced. But that's another story.

Now I get a report that Hakeem Nicks goes down at the end of practice with a hyperextended knee injury just as he "had clearly taken the lead for the spot opposite Steve Smith in the Giants offense in 2010."

Great. Now all I need is Miles to get Kardasian knocked up, lose his focus, and roll out the "Welcome back, Roy" banner as he steps aside for the ultimate underachiever to take over the #1 spot. Or how about Jamaal reinjuring his shoulder because Todd Haley made him wipe has ass. Better yet - Jermichael realizes that his time is now - the time to pull a Darrelle Revis expecting to be paid only to have the drunken Spencer Havner come back into the fold along with longtime Packer mentor, Bubba Franks

showing lil Spence the ropes!

Time to pray for my IDPs!

Is the UCB ship sinking?

Don't look now but the UCB juggernaut just hit the Favre iceberg! Yup. Sidney Rice is listening to Drew Rosenhaus instead of his doctors. Todd Haley is treating Jamaal Charles like he's Dwayne Bowe. Hakeem Nicks is sitting out every afternoon practice. Miles is dating Reggie's ex and dining with Romo. I keep waiting for Ashton Kutcher to knock on my door...

But with all bad situations there is a silver lining and that is I'm not forced to keep Aromadoodoo or Steve "kick-off man" Slaton for 2010. Let's not forget that Jermichael Finley is worthy of consideration, where as if he were on anyone else's roster, it's a no brainer. Time will tell...

With that said, it's great to see Ninja trying to pull a little Obi Wan out in the comment section! Although your thoughts are entertaining and a bit preposterous, let me go a bit further and predict that you'll be rolling IDP by the 33 spot at a minimum! Take a look for yourself. In 2009 you went Ruud and Ware right around Hines Ward, Derrick Mason, Fred Jackson, rookie RBs, Chris Cooley and Dustin Keller. My point: you aren't the type to go for a muddled pick when you can grab a huge name. Your book has been read...and it doesn't really include reaching for a committee back like Ronnie, Forte, or a Dallas RB let alone Percy or Santana Moss. My prediction - Jon Beason at 28 to the Mafia. If not, he won't be an option after the turn.